SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Auda win with a probability of 45.41%. A win for Cliftonville had a probability of 30.24% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an Auda win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.88%) and 2-0 (7.21%). The likeliest Cliftonville win was 1-2 (7.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.38%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Auda would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Auda | Draw | Cliftonville |
45.41% ( -0.24) | 24.35% ( 0.07) | 30.24% ( 0.17) |
| Both teams to score 58.02% ( -0.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.56% ( -0.21) | 44.44% ( 0.21) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.18% ( -0.2) | 66.82% ( 0.2) |
| Auda Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.29% ( -0.18) | 19.71% ( 0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.28% ( -0.3) | 51.72% ( 0.31) |
| Cliftonville Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.26% ( 0.01) | 27.74% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.7% ( 0.02) | 63.3% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Auda | Draw | Cliftonville |
| 2-1 @ 9.25% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 8.88% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 7.21% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 5.01% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 3.9% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 3.21% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 2.03% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 1.59% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.3% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.04% Total : 45.41% | 1-1 @ 11.38% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 5.93% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 5.47% ( 0.05)3-3 @ 1.37% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.34% | 1-2 @ 7.3% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 7.01% ( 0.07)0-2 @ 4.5% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 3.12% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.53% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.92% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 1% ( 0)Other @ 2.86% Total : 30.24% |
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