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Conference League | Third Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg
Aug 17, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
AFAS Stadion

AZ
2 - 0
Santa Coloma

van Bommel (40'), Lahdo (78')
Mijnans (45+1'), Clasie (59'), de Wit (66')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Cheryshev (46'), Toribio (78')
Coverage of the Conference League Third Qualifying Round clash between AZ Alkmaar and FC Santa Coloma.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Santa Coloma 0-1 AZ
Thursday, August 10 at 6pm in Europa Conference League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 76.79%. A draw had a probability of 14.3% and a win for FC Santa Coloma had a probability of 8.9%.

The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.74%) and 2-1 (8.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.64%), while for a FC Santa Coloma win it was 1-2 (2.7%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for AZ Alkmaar in this match.

Result
AZ AlkmaarDrawFC Santa Coloma
76.79% (-1.091 -1.09) 14.31% (0.621 0.62) 8.9% (0.4721 0.47)
Both teams to score 51.88% (-0.401 -0.4)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
67.76% (-1.533 -1.53)32.24% (1.535 1.54)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
46.16% (-1.805 -1.81)53.84% (1.81 1.81)
AZ Alkmaar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
93.12% (-0.53699999999999 -0.54)6.88% (0.54 0.54)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
74.72% (-1.464 -1.46)25.28% (1.466 1.47)
FC Santa Coloma Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.71% (-0.108 -0.11)44.29% (0.11 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.64% (-0.087 -0.09)80.36% (0.090000000000003 0.09)
Score Analysis
    AZ Alkmaar 76.79%
    FC Santa Coloma 8.9%
    Draw 14.31%
AZ AlkmaarDrawFC Santa Coloma
2-0 @ 10.91% (0.26 0.26)
3-0 @ 9.74% (-0.058 -0.06)
2-1 @ 8.89% (0.185 0.19)
1-0 @ 8.15% (0.43 0.43)
3-1 @ 7.93% (-0.071999999999999 -0.07)
4-0 @ 6.52% (-0.239 -0.24)
4-1 @ 5.31% (-0.212 -0.21)
5-0 @ 3.49% (-0.239 -0.24)
3-2 @ 3.23% (-0.04 -0.04)
5-1 @ 2.84% (-0.203 -0.2)
4-2 @ 2.16% (-0.093 -0.09)
6-0 @ 1.56% (-0.158 -0.16)
6-1 @ 1.27% (-0.133 -0.13)
5-2 @ 1.16% (-0.086 -0.09)
Other @ 3.63%
Total : 76.79%
1-1 @ 6.64% (0.33 0.33)
2-2 @ 3.62% (0.064 0.06)
0-0 @ 3.05% (0.246 0.25)
Other @ 1.01%
Total : 14.31%
1-2 @ 2.7% (0.127 0.13)
0-1 @ 2.48% (0.193 0.19)
0-2 @ 1.01% (0.076 0.08)
2-3 @ 0.98% (0.015 0.02)
Other @ 1.72%
Total : 8.9%

Read more!
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Form Guide
Last Game: AZ 5-1 Go Ahead Eagles
Sunday, August 13 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Santa Coloma 0-1 AZ
Thursday, August 10 at 6pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Southampton 0-1 AZ
Saturday, July 29 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: AZ 1-1 Norwich
Wednesday, July 19 at 5.30pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: AZ 1-2 PSV
Sunday, May 28 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Nijmegen 0-3 AZ
Sunday, May 21 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Santa Coloma 0-1 AZ
Thursday, August 10 at 6pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Santa Coloma 3-0 Sutjeska Niksic
Thursday, August 3 at 4pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Sutjeska Niksic 2-0 Santa Coloma
Thursday, July 27 at 8pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Santa Coloma 2-0 Pen-y-Bont
Thursday, July 20 at 4pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Pen-y-Bont 1-1 Santa Coloma
Thursday, July 13 at 6.30pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Santa Coloma 1-2 Hibernian
Thursday, July 29 at 5.30pm in Europa Conference League


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