SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 39.29%. A win for PSV Eindhoven had a probability of 36.92% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.05%) and 2-0 (5.58%). The likeliest PSV Eindhoven win was 1-2 (8.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.77%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| AZ Alkmaar | Draw | PSV Eindhoven |
39.29% ( -4.05) | 23.79% ( 0.58) | 36.92% ( 3.48) |
| Both teams to score 62.24% ( -1.38) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.14% ( -2.12) | 39.86% ( 2.12) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.78% ( -2.23) | 62.21% ( 2.23) |
| AZ Alkmaar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.47% ( -2.66) | 20.53% ( 2.66) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.97% ( -4.4) | 53.03% ( 4.4) |
| PSV Eindhoven Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.31% ( 0.86) | 21.68% ( -0.86) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.17% ( 1.3) | 54.83% ( -1.3) |
| Score Analysis |
| AZ Alkmaar | Draw | PSV Eindhoven |
| 2-1 @ 8.53% ( -0.37) 1-0 @ 7.05% ( 0.11)2-0 @ 5.58% ( -0.39)3-1 @ 4.5% ( -0.61)3-2 @ 3.44% ( -0.36)3-0 @ 2.95% ( -0.48)4-1 @ 1.78% ( -0.42)4-2 @ 1.36% ( -0.28)4-0 @ 1.17% ( -0.31)Other @ 2.93% Total : 39.29% | 1-1 @ 10.77% ( 0.44) 2-2 @ 6.52% ( -0.11)0-0 @ 4.45% ( 0.42)3-3 @ 1.75% ( -0.14)Other @ 0.29% Total : 23.79% | 1-2 @ 8.23% ( 0.54) 0-1 @ 6.8% ( 0.8)0-2 @ 5.2% ( 0.73)1-3 @ 4.2% ( 0.37)2-3 @ 3.32% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 2.65% ( 0.43)1-4 @ 1.6% ( 0.18)2-4 @ 1.27% ( 0.04)0-4 @ 1.01% ( 0.19)Other @ 2.63% Total : 36.92% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
