SM
| Team | Goals scored | Avg per game | Top scorer | |
| 1 | Aberystwyth | 0 | nan | |
| 2 | Bala Town | 0 | nan | |
| 3 | Barry | 0 | nan | |
| 4 | Caernarfon | 0 | nan | |
| 5 | Cardiff MU | 0 | nan | |
| 6 | Colwyn Bay | 0 | nan | |
| 7 | Connah's Quay | 0 | nan | |
| 8 | Haverfordwest | 0 | nan | |
| 9 | Newtown | 0 | nan | |
| 10 | Pen-y-Bont | 0 | nan | |
| 11 | Pontypridd | 0 | nan | |
| 12 | New Saints | 0 | nan |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Santa Coloma win with a probability of 38.98%. A win for Pen-y-Bont had a probability of 35.7% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Santa Coloma win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.55%) and 0-2 (6.29%). The likeliest Pen-y-Bont win was 1-0 (8.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.95%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 12% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Pen-y-Bont | Draw | FC Santa Coloma |
35.7% ( 0.69) | 25.32% ( 0.19) | 38.98% ( -0.87) |
| Both teams to score 56.51% ( -0.56) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.77% ( -0.77) | 47.23% ( 0.77) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.54% ( -0.72) | 69.46% ( 0.72) |
| Pen-y-Bont Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.28% ( 0.04) | 25.72% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.36% ( 0.05) | 60.64% ( -0.05) |
| FC Santa Coloma Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.07% ( -0.79) | 23.93% ( 0.79) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.85% ( -1.14) | 58.14% ( 1.14) |
| Score Analysis |
| Pen-y-Bont | Draw | FC Santa Coloma |
| 1-0 @ 8.36% ( 0.27) 2-1 @ 8.11% ( 0.09)2-0 @ 5.67% ( 0.19)3-1 @ 3.67% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 2.63% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 2.57% ( 0.09)4-1 @ 1.25% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.44% Total : 35.7% | 1-1 @ 11.95% ( 0.12) 0-0 @ 6.15% ( 0.19)2-2 @ 5.8% ( -0.07)3-3 @ 1.25% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.32% | 0-1 @ 8.8% ( 0.08) 1-2 @ 8.55% ( -0.11)0-2 @ 6.29% ( -0.09)1-3 @ 4.07% ( -0.15)0-3 @ 3% ( -0.12)2-3 @ 2.77% ( -0.1)1-4 @ 1.46% ( -0.09)0-4 @ 1.07% ( -0.07)2-4 @ 0.99% ( -0.06)Other @ 1.98% Total : 38.98% |
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