Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a HNK Rijeka win with a probability of 40.39%. A win for B36 Torshavn had a probability of 33.89% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a HNK Rijeka win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.68%) and 0-2 (6.78%). The likeliest B36 Torshavn win was 1-0 (8.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that HNK Rijeka would win this match.
