Croatian 1. HNL | Gameweek 3
Aug 6, 2023 at 8pm UK
Stadion HNK Rijeka
FT(HT: 3-0)
Nebyla (45+1'), Calusic (46'), Petrusenko (46')
Coverage of the Croatian 1. HNL clash between HNK Rijeka and NK Istra 1961.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a HNK Rijeka win with a probability of 65.21%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for NK Istra 1961 had a probability of 13.83%.
The most likely scoreline for a HNK Rijeka win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.67%) and 2-1 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.91%), while for a NK Istra 1961 win it was 0-1 (5.12%). The actual scoreline of 6-0 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that HNK Rijeka would win this match.
| Result |
| HNK Rijeka | Draw | NK Istra 1961 |
65.21% ( 0.43) | 20.96% ( -0.14) | 13.83% ( -0.29) |
| Both teams to score 45.45% ( -0.32) |
| 50.5% ( -0.02) | 49.49% ( 0.02) |
| 28.46% ( -0.02) | 71.53% ( 0.02) |
| 85.58% ( 0.12) | 14.41% ( -0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 57.67% ( 0.24) | 42.33% ( -0.25) |
| 53.11% ( -0.45) | 46.89% ( 0.45) |
