SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hajduk Split win with a probability of 42.82%. A win for HNK Rijeka had a probability of 29.39% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hajduk Split win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.49%) and 2-0 (8.24%). The likeliest HNK Rijeka win was 0-1 (9.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Hajduk Split in this match.
| Result | ||
| Hajduk Split | Draw | HNK Rijeka |
42.82% ( -0.55) | 27.79% ( 0.12) | 29.39% ( 0.44) |
| Both teams to score 46.84% ( -0.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.29% ( -0.23) | 58.71% ( 0.23) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.76% ( -0.18) | 79.24% ( 0.18) |
| Hajduk Split Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.86% ( -0.4) | 27.14% ( 0.4) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.47% ( -0.52) | 62.53% ( 0.53) |
| HNK Rijeka Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.29% ( 0.22) | 35.71% ( -0.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.51% ( 0.22) | 72.48% ( -0.22) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hajduk Split | Draw | HNK Rijeka |
| 1-0 @ 12.64% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 8.49% ( -0.07)2-0 @ 8.24% ( -0.12)3-1 @ 3.69% ( -0.07)3-0 @ 3.58% ( -0.09)3-2 @ 1.9% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 1.2% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 1.17% ( -0.04)Other @ 1.91% Total : 42.82% | 1-1 @ 13.01% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 9.69% ( 0.09)2-2 @ 4.37% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.71% Total : 27.78% | 0-1 @ 9.98% ( 0.15) 1-2 @ 6.7% ( 0.06)0-2 @ 5.14% ( 0.11)1-3 @ 2.3% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 1.76% ( 0.05)2-3 @ 1.5% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.01% Total : 29.39% |
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