Conference League | First Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg
Jul 18, 2024 at 4pm UK
Banants
Mirzoyan (12', 49')
Barry Ojumah (24'), Simonyan (57')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Coverage of the Conference League First Qualifying Round clash between Urartu and Tallinna Kalev.
Form, Standings, Stats
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Urartu win with a probability of 59.46%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Tallinna Kalev had a probability of 18.93%.
The most likely scoreline for a Urartu win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.95%) and 2-0 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.18%), while for a Tallinna Kalev win it was 0-1 (5.21%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Urartu would win this match.
| Result |
| Urartu | Draw | Tallinna Kalev |
59.46% ( 0.2) | 21.61% ( -0.07) | 18.93% ( -0.14) |
| Both teams to score 54.45% ( -0) |
| 56.79% ( 0.11) | 43.21% ( -0.12) |
| 34.4% ( 0.11) | 65.6% ( -0.12) |
| 85.84% ( 0.1) | 14.16% ( -0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 58.16% ( 0.2) | 41.84% ( -0.2) |
| 63.43% ( -0.08) | 36.57% ( 0.07) |
