Conference League | First Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Jul 11, 2024 at 5.30pm UK
Kalevi Keskstaadioni kunstmuru
Toomas Teevali (11')
Klavan (79'), Sinilaid (83')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Movsesyan (28', 77')
Gilmore (39'), Aghasaryan (90+1')
Coverage of the Conference League First Qualifying Round clash between Tallinna Kalev and Urartu.
Form, Standings, Stats
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Urartu win with a probability of 60.25%. A draw had a probability of 20.2% and a win for Tallinna Kalev had a probability of 19.59%.
The most likely scoreline for a Urartu win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.42%) and 0-1 (7.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.03%), while for a Tallinna Kalev win it was 2-1 (5.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Urartu in this match.
| Result |
| Tallinna Kalev | Draw | Urartu |
19.59% ( -0) | 20.16% ( -0.02) | 60.25% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 60.8% ( 0.07) |
| 64.57% ( 0.09) | 35.42% ( -0.09) |
| 42.54% ( 0.1) | 57.46% ( -0.1) |
| 68.68% ( 0.05) | 31.32% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 32.31% ( 0.06) | 67.68% ( -0.06) |
| 88.52% ( 0.04) | 11.47% ( -0.04) |
