SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zrinjski Mostar win with a probability of 48.3%. A draw had a probability of 27.6% and a win for Urartu had a probability of 24.08%.
The most likely scoreline for a Zrinjski Mostar win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.9%) and 1-2 (8.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.7%), while for a Urartu win it was 1-0 (9.26%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 14.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Zrinjski Mostar in this match.
| Result | ||
| Urartu | Draw | Zrinjski Mostar |
24.08% ( -0.02) | 27.61% ( 0) | 48.3% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 43.67% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.1% ( -0.03) | 60.89% ( 0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.08% ( -0.02) | 80.91% ( 0.02) |
| Urartu Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.52% ( -0.03) | 41.47% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.02% ( -0.03) | 77.97% ( 0.03) |
| Zrinjski Mostar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.62% ( -0.01) | 25.37% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.82% ( -0.01) | 60.17% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Urartu | Draw | Zrinjski Mostar |
| 1-0 @ 9.26% ( 0) 2-1 @ 5.59% ( -0)2-0 @ 4.08% ( -0)3-1 @ 1.64% ( -0)3-0 @ 1.2% ( -0)3-2 @ 1.13% ( -0)Other @ 1.19% Total : 24.08% | 1-1 @ 12.7% 0-0 @ 10.52% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 3.83% ( -0)Other @ 0.56% Total : 27.61% | 0-1 @ 14.43% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 9.9% ( 0.01)1-2 @ 8.71% ( -0)0-3 @ 4.52% ( 0)1-3 @ 3.98% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.75% ( -0)0-4 @ 1.55% 1-4 @ 1.37% ( -0)Other @ 2.09% Total : 48.3% |
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