SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Maribor win with a probability of 37.91%. A win for Sheriff Tiraspol had a probability of 34.88% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Maribor win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.16%) and 0-2 (6.79%). The likeliest Sheriff Tiraspol win was 1-0 (10.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Sheriff Tiraspol would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sheriff Tiraspol | Draw | Maribor |
34.88% ( -0.1) | 27.2% ( 1.36) | 37.91% ( -1.25) |
| Both teams to score 50.19% ( -4.42) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.76% ( -5.61) | 55.24% ( 5.61) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.53% ( -4.82) | 76.47% ( 4.82) |
| Sheriff Tiraspol Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.93% ( -2.8) | 30.07% ( 2.8) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.8% ( -3.49) | 66.2% ( 3.5) |
| Maribor Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.77% ( -3.31) | 28.22% ( 3.32) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.07% ( -4.4) | 63.92% ( 4.4) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sheriff Tiraspol | Draw | Maribor |
| 1-0 @ 10.19% ( 1.36) 2-1 @ 7.75% ( -0.22)2-0 @ 6.13% ( 0.39)3-1 @ 3.11% ( -0.35)3-0 @ 2.46% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 1.96% ( -0.44)4-1 @ 0.93% ( -0.19)Other @ 2.35% Total : 34.87% | 1-1 @ 12.9% ( 0.64) 0-0 @ 8.49% ( 1.69)2-2 @ 4.9% ( -0.64)Other @ 0.91% Total : 27.2% | 0-1 @ 10.73% ( 1.29) 1-2 @ 8.16% ( -0.37)0-2 @ 6.79% ( 0.23)1-3 @ 3.44% ( -0.51)0-3 @ 2.86% ( -0.18)2-3 @ 2.07% ( -0.5)1-4 @ 1.09% ( -0.29)0-4 @ 0.91% ( -0.15)Other @ 1.86% Total : 37.91% |
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