Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zorya Luhansk win with a probability of 46.14%. A win for CSKA Sofia had a probability of 29.94% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Zorya Luhansk win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.48%) and 2-0 (7.11%). The likeliest CSKA Sofia win was 1-2 (7.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.08%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Zorya Luhansk would win this match.
