SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Gallen win with a probability of 45.81%. A win for Cercle Brugge had a probability of 30.86% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Gallen win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.57%) and 0-2 (6.59%). The likeliest Cercle Brugge win was 2-1 (7.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.55%). The actual scoreline of 6-2 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Cercle Brugge | Draw | St Gallen |
30.86% ( -0.69) | 23.32% ( -0) | 45.81% ( 0.68) |
| Both teams to score 62.01% ( -0.38) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.65% ( -0.34) | 39.34% ( 0.34) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.32% ( -0.36) | 61.68% ( 0.35) |
| Cercle Brugge Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.18% ( -0.58) | 24.81% ( 0.58) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.6% ( -0.82) | 59.39% ( 0.81) |
| St Gallen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.48% ( 0.13) | 17.51% ( -0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.97% ( 0.23) | 48.02% ( -0.24) |
| Score Analysis |
| Cercle Brugge | Draw | St Gallen |
| 2-1 @ 7.35% ( -0.1) 1-0 @ 6.06% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 4.22% ( -0.08)3-1 @ 3.42% ( -0.11)3-2 @ 2.98% ( -0.08)3-0 @ 1.96% ( -0.07)4-1 @ 1.19% ( -0.06)4-2 @ 1.04% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.65% Total : 30.86% | 1-1 @ 10.55% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 6.41% ( -0.06)0-0 @ 4.35% ( 0.07)3-3 @ 1.73% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.29% Total : 23.32% | 1-2 @ 9.19% ( 0.07) 0-1 @ 7.57% ( 0.15)0-2 @ 6.59% ( 0.16)1-3 @ 5.34% ( 0.07)0-3 @ 3.83% ( 0.11)2-3 @ 3.72% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 2.33% ( 0.04)0-4 @ 1.67% ( 0.05)2-4 @ 1.62% Other @ 3.95% Total : 45.81% |
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