SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cercle Brugge win with a probability of 38.94%. A win for Genk had a probability of 36.96% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cercle Brugge win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.37%) and 2-0 (5.69%). The likeliest Genk win was 1-2 (8.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.04%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Cercle Brugge | Draw | Genk |
38.94% ( -1.14) | 24.1% ( 0.09) | 36.96% ( 1.06) |
| Both teams to score 61.07% ( -0.21) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.62% ( -0.32) | 41.38% ( 0.32) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.22% ( -0.32) | 63.77% ( 0.33) |
| Cercle Brugge Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.64% ( -0.69) | 21.36% ( 0.69) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.67% ( -1.07) | 54.33% ( 1.07) |
| Genk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.65% ( 0.41) | 22.35% ( -0.41) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.17% ( 0.61) | 55.83% ( -0.6) |
| Score Analysis |
| Cercle Brugge | Draw | Genk |
| 2-1 @ 8.52% ( -0.13) 1-0 @ 7.37% ( -0.05)2-0 @ 5.69% ( -0.16)3-1 @ 4.39% ( -0.16)3-2 @ 3.29% ( -0.08)3-0 @ 2.93% ( -0.15)4-1 @ 1.69% ( -0.1)4-2 @ 1.27% ( -0.06)4-0 @ 1.13% ( -0.08)Other @ 2.67% Total : 38.94% | 1-1 @ 11.04% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 6.39% ( -0.02)0-0 @ 4.77% ( 0.07)3-3 @ 1.64% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.26% Total : 24.1% | 1-2 @ 8.27% ( 0.15) 0-1 @ 7.15% ( 0.19)0-2 @ 5.36% ( 0.2)1-3 @ 4.13% ( 0.12)2-3 @ 3.19% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 2.68% ( 0.13)1-4 @ 1.55% ( 0.06)2-4 @ 1.2% ( 0.03)0-4 @ 1% ( 0.06)Other @ 2.44% Total : 36.96% |
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