SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Gallen win with a probability of 42.99%. A win for Tobol had a probability of 31.97% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Gallen win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9%) and 0-2 (7.03%). The likeliest Tobol win was 1-0 (7.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.81%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for St Gallen in this match.
| Result | ||
| Tobol | Draw | St Gallen |
31.97% ( 0.02) | 25.05% ( 0) | 42.99% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 56.47% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.15% ( -0) | 46.85% ( 0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.9% ( -0) | 69.1% ( 0) |
| Tobol Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.2% ( 0.01) | 27.8% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.61% ( 0.01) | 63.39% ( -0.01) |
| St Gallen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.21% ( -0.01) | 21.79% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.01% ( -0.02) | 54.99% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Tobol | Draw | St Gallen |
| 1-0 @ 7.75% ( 0) 2-1 @ 7.56% ( 0)2-0 @ 4.96% ( 0)3-1 @ 3.23% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.46% ( 0)3-0 @ 2.12% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.03% ( 0)Other @ 2.85% Total : 31.97% | 1-1 @ 11.81% 0-0 @ 6.06% ( 0)2-2 @ 5.76% 3-3 @ 1.25% Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.04% | 0-1 @ 9.23% ( -0) 1-2 @ 9% ( -0)0-2 @ 7.03% ( -0)1-3 @ 4.57% ( -0)0-3 @ 3.57% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.93% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.74% ( -0)0-4 @ 1.36% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.12% ( -0)Other @ 2.43% Total : 42.99% |
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