SM
| Team | Goals scored | Avg per game | Top scorer | |
| 1 | Servette | 5 | 2.50 | Crivelli |
| 2 | Lausanne | 3 | 3.00 | Diabate |
| 3 | Basel | 2 | 2.00 | Barry |
| 4 | FC Zurich | 2 | 2.00 | Emmanuel |
| 5 | Lugano | 2 | 2.00 | Bislimi |
| 6 | Sion | 2 | 2.00 | Chouaref |
| 7 | Young Boys | 2 | 1.00 | Ganvoula |
| 8 | Winterthur | 1 | 1.00 | Di Giusto |
| 9 | Grasshopper | 1 | 1.00 | Morandi |
| 10 | Luzern | 1 | 1.00 | Villiger |
| 11 | St Gallen | 0 | 0.00 | |
| 12 | Yverdon Sport | 0 | 0.00 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Gallen win with a probability of 54.45%. A win for Tobol had a probability of 23.56% and a draw had a probability of 22%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Gallen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.26%) and 2-0 (8.04%). The likeliest Tobol win was 1-2 (6.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.01%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that St Gallen would win this match.
| Result | ||
| St Gallen | Draw | Tobol |
54.45% ( 0) | 21.98% ( -0.02) | 23.56% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 60.25% ( 0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.18% ( 0.07) | 38.82% ( -0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.86% ( 0.08) | 61.13% ( -0.08) |
| St Gallen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.73% ( 0.03) | 14.27% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.95% ( 0.05) | 42.05% ( -0.05) |
| Tobol Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.28% ( 0.05) | 29.72% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.22% ( 0.06) | 65.78% ( -0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| St Gallen | Draw | Tobol |
| 2-1 @ 9.75% ( -0) 1-0 @ 8.26% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 8.04% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 6.33% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 5.22% ( -0)3-2 @ 3.84% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 3.08% ( 0)4-0 @ 2.54% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.87% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 1.2% ( 0)5-0 @ 0.99% ( 0)Other @ 3.34% Total : 54.45% | 1-1 @ 10.01% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.92% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 4.24% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.55% ( 0)Other @ 0.25% Total : 21.97% | 1-2 @ 6.08% ( 0) 0-1 @ 5.15% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 3.12% ( -0)1-3 @ 2.46% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.39% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.26% ( 0)Other @ 3.1% Total : 23.56% |
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