Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dinamo Tbilisi win with a probability of 49.01%. A win for Paide had a probability of 27.56% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dinamo Tbilisi win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.58%) and 2-0 (7.53%). The likeliest Paide win was 1-2 (6.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.83%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood.
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