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Old Firm derby: 2 hrs 33 mins
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Europa Conference League | Group Stage
Oct 13, 2022 at 5.45pm UK
Tele2 Arena
G

Djurgarden
4 - 2
Gent

Holmberg (21'), Wikheim (42', 46'), Banda (45+4')
Johansson (37')
FT(HT: 3-0)
Depoitre (61'), Cuypers (73')
Cuypers (66'), Fortuna (90+2')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Djurgarden 0-1 Hacken
Sunday, October 9 at 4.30pm in Swedish Allsvenskan
Last Game: Eupen 0-4 Gent
Sunday, October 9 at 3pm in Belgian Pro League

We said: Djurgardens IF 1-1 Gent

Not much separated the two sides in the reverse fixture, and a draw may have been a fair result on the balance of play. As such, we do not think there will be a winner in this one, with the spoils being shared, a result that would suit Djurgarden at this stage. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Djurgardens IF win with a probability of 56.57%. A win for Gent had a probability of 22.5% and a draw had a probability of 20.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Djurgardens IF win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.69%) and 1-0 (7.36%). The likeliest Gent win was 1-2 (5.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.25%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Djurgardens IF would win this match.

Result
Djurgardens IFDrawGent
56.57% (-0.023000000000003 -0.02) 20.93% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05) 22.5% (0.072000000000003 0.07)
Both teams to score 62.68% (0.285 0.29)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.98% (0.328 0.33)35.02% (-0.327 -0.33)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.99% (0.362 0.36)57.01% (-0.361 -0.36)
Djurgardens IF Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.63% (0.097999999999999 0.1)12.36% (-0.099 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.79% (0.206 0.21)38.21% (-0.206 -0.21)
Gent Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.52% (0.24600000000001 0.25)28.48% (-0.244 -0.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.75% (0.305 0.31)64.25% (-0.30500000000001 -0.31)
Score Analysis
    Djurgardens IF 56.57%
    Gent 22.5%
    Draw 20.93%
Djurgardens IFDrawGent
2-1 @ 9.66% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-0 @ 7.69% (-0.069 -0.07)
1-0 @ 7.36% (-0.094 -0.09)
3-1 @ 6.73% (0.012 0.01)
3-0 @ 5.36% (-0.027 -0.03)
3-2 @ 4.23% (0.036 0.04)
4-1 @ 3.52% (0.02 0.02)
4-0 @ 2.8% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 2.21% (0.027 0.03)
5-1 @ 1.47% (0.014 0.01)
5-0 @ 1.17% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-3 @ 0.93% (0.017 0.02)
5-2 @ 0.92% (0.015 0.02)
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 56.57%
1-1 @ 9.25% (-0.054 -0.05)
2-2 @ 6.07% (0.029 0.03)
0-0 @ 3.52% (-0.059 -0.06)
3-3 @ 1.77% (0.027 0.03)
Other @ 0.32%
Total : 20.93%
1-2 @ 5.81% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-1 @ 4.42% (-0.042 -0.04)
0-2 @ 2.78% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.54% (0.029 0.03)
1-3 @ 2.43% (0.019 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.16% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 3.36%
Total : 22.5%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Djurgarden 0-1 Hacken
Sunday, October 9 at 4.30pm in Swedish Allsvenskan
Last Game: Gent 0-1 Djurgarden
Thursday, October 6 at 8pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Degerfors 3-0 Djurgarden
Saturday, October 1 at 4.30pm in Swedish Allsvenskan
Last Game: Djurgarden 3-0 Goteborg
Sunday, September 18 at 4.30pm in Swedish Allsvenskan
Last Game: Djurgarden 3-2 Molde
Thursday, September 15 at 5.45pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Hammarby 0-0 Djurgarden
Sunday, September 11 at 2pm in Swedish Allsvenskan
Last Game: Eupen 0-4 Gent
Sunday, October 9 at 3pm in Belgian Pro League
Last Game: Gent 0-1 Djurgarden
Thursday, October 6 at 8pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Gent 3-4 Cercle Brugge
Sunday, October 2 at 3pm in Belgian Pro League
Last Game: Genk 1-0 Gent
Sunday, September 18 at 12.30pm in Belgian Pro League
Last Game: Gent 3-0 Shamrock
Thursday, September 15 at 5.45pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Gent 2-0 Zulte
Sunday, September 11 at 8pm in Belgian Pro League


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