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Conference League | Second Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Jul 25, 2024 at 6pm UK
Tele2 Arena

Djurgarden
3 - 0
Niederkorn

Wikheim (21'), Hummet (27', 61')
Karamoko (42'), Tenho (54'), Danielsson (63'), Dahl (90+2')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Natami (32'), Wikheim (38'), Bah (42'), Lybohy (76'), Duarte (80'), Amofa (90+2')
Coverage of the Conference League Second Qualifying Round clash between Djurgardens IF and Progres Niederkorn.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Kalmar 2-1 Djurgarden
Saturday, July 20 at 2pm in Swedish Allsvenskan
Last Game: Niederkorn 2-1 Midtjylland
Thursday, August 3 at 6.30pm in Europa Conference League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Djurgardens IF win with a probability of 72.43%. A draw had a probability of 16.6% and a win for Progres Niederkorn had a probability of 10.93%.

The most likely scoreline for a Djurgardens IF win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.52%) and 2-1 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.83%), while for a Progres Niederkorn win it was 0-1 (3.25%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Djurgardens IF would win this match.

Result
Djurgardens IFDrawProgres Niederkorn
72.43% (-0.033999999999992 -0.03) 16.64% (0.014000000000003 0.01) 10.93% (0.020999999999999 0.02)
Both teams to score 51.03% (0.014000000000003 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.64% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)37.36% (0.015999999999998 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.42% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)59.57% (0.015999999999998 0.02)
Djurgardens IF Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.99% (-0.012 -0.01)9% (0.013 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
69.32% (-0.027999999999992 -0.03)30.68% (0.029 0.03)
Progres Niederkorn Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.08% (0.024999999999999 0.02)43.92% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.94% (0.02 0.02)80.05% (-0.019000000000005 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Djurgardens IF 72.42%
    Progres Niederkorn 10.93%
    Draw 16.64%
Djurgardens IFDrawProgres Niederkorn
2-0 @ 11.45% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
1-0 @ 9.52% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-1 @ 9.43% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 9.2% (-0.0080000000000009 -0.01)
3-1 @ 7.57% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-0 @ 5.54% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-1 @ 4.56% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 3.11% (0.0019999999999998 0)
5-0 @ 2.67% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
5-1 @ 2.19% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 1.87%
6-0 @ 1.07% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
5-2 @ 0.9% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 3.35%
Total : 72.42%
1-1 @ 7.83% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-0 @ 3.95% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-2 @ 3.88% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.97%
Total : 16.64%
0-1 @ 3.25% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-2 @ 3.22% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-2 @ 1.34% (0.0029999999999999 0)
2-3 @ 1.06% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.05%
Total : 10.93%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Kalmar 2-1 Djurgarden
Saturday, July 20 at 2pm in Swedish Allsvenskan
Last Game: Djurgarden 1-0 Varnamo
Sunday, July 14 at 1pm in Swedish Allsvenskan
Last Game: Norrkoping 1-3 Djurgarden
Monday, July 8 at 6pm in Swedish Allsvenskan
Last Game: Djurgarden 0-3 Hammarby
Sunday, June 2 at 1pm in Swedish Allsvenskan
Last Game: Mjallby AIF 1-3 Djurgarden
Saturday, May 25 at 4.30pm in Swedish Allsvenskan
Last Game: Djurgarden 2-0 Halmstad
Monday, May 20 at 6pm in Swedish Allsvenskan
Last Game: Niederkorn 2-1 Midtjylland
Thursday, August 3 at 6.30pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Midtjylland 2-0 Niederkorn
Wednesday, July 26 at 5.45pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Gjilani 0-2 Niederkorn
Thursday, July 20 at 7pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Niederkorn 2-2 Gjilani
Thursday, July 13 at 6.30pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Niederkorn 0-5 Willem II
Wednesday, September 16 at 5.30pm in Europa League
Last Game: Niederkorn 3-0 Zeta
Wednesday, August 26 at 5.30pm in Europa League


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