Conference League | Second Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg
Jul 28, 2022 at 7pm UK
MFA Centenary Stadium
FT(HT: 1-0)
Bajric (39'), Hasanovic (59')
Coverage of the Conference League Second Qualifying Round clash between Hamrun Spartans and Velez.
Form, Standings, Stats
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hamrun Spartans win with a probability of 46.18%. A win for Velez had a probability of 30.93% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hamrun Spartans win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.06%) and 2-0 (6.35%). The likeliest Velez win was 1-2 (7.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hamrun Spartans would win this match.
| Result |
| Hamrun Spartans | Draw | Velez |
| 46.18% | 22.89% ( 0.01) | 30.93% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 63.65% ( -0.02) |
| 62.79% ( -0.02) | 37.21% ( 0.02) |
| 40.58% ( -0.02) | 59.41% ( 0.02) |
| 83.45% ( -0.01) | 16.54% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 53.69% ( -0.01) | 46.3% ( 0.01) |
| 76.27% ( -0.02) | 23.73% ( 0.01) |
