SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 3 | Honka | 12 | 10 | 24 |
| 4 | Inter Turku | 13 | 7 | 18 |
| 5 | Ilves | 12 | 2 | 18 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Turku win with a probability of 42.59%. A win for Drita had a probability of 29.19% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inter Turku win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.34%) and 2-0 (8.33%). The likeliest Drita win was 0-1 (10.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Inter Turku in this match.
| Result | ||
| Inter Turku | Draw | Drita |
42.59% ( -0.94) | 28.22% ( -0.66) | 29.19% ( 1.6) |
| Both teams to score 45.54% ( 2.56) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.7% ( 2.79) | 60.3% ( -2.78) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.53% ( 2.06) | 80.47% ( -2.06) |
| Inter Turku Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.98% ( 0.83) | 28.02% ( -0.83) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.33% ( 1.05) | 63.67% ( -1.05) |
| Drita Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.26% ( 2.85) | 36.74% ( -2.85) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.48% ( 2.75) | 73.52% ( -2.75) |
| Score Analysis |
| Inter Turku | Draw | Drita |
| 1-0 @ 13.09% ( -1.1) 2-1 @ 8.34% ( 0.17)2-0 @ 8.33% ( -0.49)3-1 @ 3.54% ( 0.15)3-0 @ 3.53% ( -0.12)3-2 @ 1.77% ( 0.2)4-1 @ 1.13% ( 0.07)4-0 @ 1.12% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.73% Total : 42.58% | 1-1 @ 13.11% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 10.29% ( -1.13)2-2 @ 4.18% ( 0.39)Other @ 0.64% Total : 28.22% | 0-1 @ 10.3% ( -0.28) 1-2 @ 6.57% ( 0.47)0-2 @ 5.16% ( 0.26)1-3 @ 2.19% ( 0.31)0-3 @ 1.72% ( 0.21)2-3 @ 1.4% ( 0.23)Other @ 1.84% Total : 29.18% |
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