SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 4 | Oulu | 11 | 3 | 18 |
| 5 | Inter Turku | 11 | 4 | 15 |
| 6 | Ilves | 10 | 2 | 15 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 9 | SJK | 11 | -8 | 11 |
| 10 | Lahti | 11 | -8 | 9 |
| 11 | IFK Mariehamn | 10 | -8 | 7 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Turku win with a probability of 40.56%. A win for Lahti had a probability of 33.26% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inter Turku win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.64%) and 2-0 (7.01%). The likeliest Lahti win was 0-1 (8.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.44%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Inter Turku would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Inter Turku | Draw | Lahti |
40.56% ( 4.4) | 26.17% ( -0.74) | 33.26% ( -3.67) |
| Both teams to score 53.18% ( 1.95) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.69% ( 2.67) | 51.31% ( -2.68) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.86% ( 2.29) | 73.13% ( -2.29) |
| Inter Turku Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.06% ( 3.72) | 24.93% ( -3.73) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.43% ( 4.91) | 59.56% ( -4.91) |
| Lahti Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.84% ( -0.96) | 29.15% ( 0.96) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.9% ( -1.2) | 65.09% ( 1.19) |
| Score Analysis |
| Inter Turku | Draw | Lahti |
| 1-0 @ 10.09% 2-1 @ 8.64% ( 0.66)2-0 @ 7.01% ( 0.7)3-1 @ 4% ( 0.68)3-0 @ 3.25% ( 0.62)3-2 @ 2.47% ( 0.36)4-1 @ 1.39% ( 0.35)4-0 @ 1.13% ( 0.31)Other @ 2.58% Total : 40.55% | 1-1 @ 12.44% ( -0.34) 0-0 @ 7.27% ( -0.81)2-2 @ 5.33% ( 0.27)3-3 @ 1.01% ( 0.12)Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.16% | 0-1 @ 8.96% ( -1.27) 1-2 @ 7.67% ( -0.42)0-2 @ 5.52% ( -0.95)1-3 @ 3.15% ( -0.26)0-3 @ 2.27% ( -0.47)2-3 @ 2.19% ( 0.05)1-4 @ 0.97% ( -0.11)Other @ 2.54% Total : 33.26% |
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