SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Istanbul Basaksehir win with a probability of 45.39%. A draw had a probability of 28.9% and a win for Rigas Futbola Skola had a probability of 25.75%.
The most likely scoreline for a Istanbul Basaksehir win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.4%) and 2-1 (8.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.02%), while for a Rigas Futbola Skola win it was 0-1 (10.29%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Istanbul Basaksehir would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Istanbul Basaksehir | Draw | Rigas Futbola Skola |
45.39% ( -0.06) | 28.86% ( 0.02) | 25.75% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 41.91% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 36.17% ( -0.02) | 63.84% ( 0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 16.93% ( -0.02) | 83.07% ( 0.02) |
| Istanbul Basaksehir Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.78% ( -0.04) | 28.22% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.08% ( -0.05) | 63.92% ( 0.06) |
| Rigas Futbola Skola Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.38% ( 0.03) | 41.62% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.9% ( 0.02) | 78.1% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Istanbul Basaksehir | Draw | Rigas Futbola Skola |
| 1-0 @ 14.85% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 9.4% ( -0.01)2-1 @ 8.24% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 3.96% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 3.48% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 1.52% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.25% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.1% ( -0)Other @ 1.58% Total : 45.38% | 1-1 @ 13.02% 0-0 @ 11.74% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 3.61% ( -0)Other @ 0.48% Total : 28.85% | 0-1 @ 10.29% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 5.71% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 4.51% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 1.67% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.32% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.06% Other @ 1.19% Total : 25.74% |
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