Europa Conference League | Playoffs | 1st Leg

Aug 18, 2022 at 6.45pm UK

Başakşehir Fatih Terim Stadyumu

Istanbul
1 - 1
Antwerp

(Istanbul Basaksehir win 4-2 on aggregate)

Chouiar (54')
Gurler (37')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Almeida (88')
Frey (40'), Pacho (43'), Gerkens (51')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa Conference League clash between Istanbul Basaksehir and Royal Antwerp, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Istanbul Basaksehir 2-1 Royal Antwerp

The teams boast a plethora of attacking talent on display, so we expect goals at both ends here. That said, we are also tipping the home team to emerge victorious, albeit by only a narrow margin. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Royal Antwerp win with a probability of 45.12%. A win for Istanbul Basaksehir had a probability of 30.93% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Royal Antwerp win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.26%) and 0-2 (6.87%). The likeliest Istanbul Basaksehir win was 2-1 (7.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood.

Result
Istanbul Basaksehir	Draw	Royal Antwerp
30.93% ( -0.02)	23.94% ( -0.06)	45.12% ( 0.09)

Both teams to score 59.81% (

0.22)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.74% (

0.29)

42.26% (

-0.29)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.34% (

0.29)

64.66% (

-0.29)

Istanbul Basaksehir Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.8% (

0.13)

26.2% (

-0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.71% (

0.17)

61.29% (

-0.17)

Royal Antwerp Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.05% (

0.16)

18.95% (

-0.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.53% (

0.26)

50.47% (

-0.25)

Score Analysis

Istanbul Basaksehir 30.93%

Royal Antwerp 45.12%

Draw 23.94%

Istanbul Basaksehir	Draw	Royal Antwerp
2-1 @ 7.41% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 6.65% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 4.45% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 3.31% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.75% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 1.99% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.11% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 0.92% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.35% Total : 30.93%	1-1 @ 11.06% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 6.16% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 4.97% ( -0.06) 3-3 @ 1.53% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.23% Total : 23.94%	1-2 @ 9.2% ( 0) 0-1 @ 8.26% ( -0.07) 0-2 @ 6.87% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 5.1% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 3.81% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 3.42% ( 0.03) 1-4 @ 2.12% ( 0.02) 0-4 @ 1.58% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 1.42% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.34% Total : 45.12%