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Conference League | First Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg
Jul 18, 2024 at 4pm UK
Savon Sanomat Areena

KuPS
5 - 0
UNA Strassen

Ruoppi (18', 20'), Vidjeskog (48'), Diawara (75'), Heinonen (90+1')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Bernardelli (56')
Coverage of the Conference League First Qualifying Round clash between KuPS and UNA Strassen.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: UNA Strassen 0-0 KuPS
Thursday, July 11 at 6pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: UNA Strassen 0-0 KuPS
Thursday, July 11 at 6pm in Europa Conference League
TeamGoals scoredAvg per gameTop scorer
1Ilves332.06Haarala
2HJK Helsinki281.75Plange
3Inter Turku281.75Smith
4KuPS271.80Luyeye-Lutumba
5Haka261.73Patoulidis
6SJK261.73Moreno
7VPS251.67Borchers
8Oulu221.47Coffey
9Gnistan191.27Latonen
10EIF161.07Kaufmann
11Mariehamn161.14Larsson
12Lahti140.93Ivanovic

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a KuPS win with a probability of 79.37%. A draw had a probability of 13.5% and a win for UNA Strassen had a probability of 7.11%.

The most likely scoreline for a KuPS win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.13%) and 1-0 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.42%), while for a UNA Strassen win it was 0-1 (2.41%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that KuPS would win this match.

Result
KuPSDrawUNA Strassen
79.37% (0.259 0.26) 13.51% (-0.113 -0.11) 7.11% (-0.1471 -0.15)
Both teams to score 45.76% (-0.352 -0.35)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.74% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)35.26% (0.025999999999996 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.72% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)57.28% (0.027999999999999 0.03)
KuPS Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
92.98% (0.046999999999997 0.05)7.02% (-0.048 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
74.34% (0.125 0.13)25.66% (-0.126 -0.13)
UNA Strassen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
49.21% (-0.406 -0.41)50.79% (0.40499999999999 0.4)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
14.8% (-0.279 -0.28)85.2% (0.277 0.28)
Score Analysis
    KuPS 79.36%
    UNA Strassen 7.11%
    Draw 13.51%
KuPSDrawUNA Strassen
2-0 @ 12.57% (0.08 0.08)
3-0 @ 11.13% (0.090000000000002 0.09)
1-0 @ 9.47% (0.036 0.04)
2-1 @ 8.52% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
3-1 @ 7.55% (-0.022 -0.02)
4-0 @ 7.4% (0.084 0.08)
4-1 @ 5.01% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
5-0 @ 3.93% (0.055 0.06)
5-1 @ 2.66% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.56% (-0.037 -0.04)
6-0 @ 1.74% (0.028 0.03)
4-2 @ 1.7% (-0.021 -0.02)
6-1 @ 1.18% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
5-2 @ 0.9% (-0.009 -0.01)
Other @ 3.03%
Total : 79.36%
1-1 @ 6.42% (-0.051 -0.05)
0-0 @ 3.56% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-2 @ 2.89% (-0.05 -0.05)
Other @ 0.65%
Total : 13.51%
0-1 @ 2.41% (-0.026 -0.03)
1-2 @ 2.17% (-0.043 -0.04)
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 7.11%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: UNA Strassen 0-0 KuPS
Thursday, July 11 at 6pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: KuPS 3-1 Gnistan
Sunday, July 7 at 4.30pm in Finnish Veikkausliiga
Last Game: Oulu 1-0 KuPS
Friday, June 28 at 6pm in Finnish Veikkausliiga
Last Game: HJK Helsinki 3-1 KuPS
Wednesday, June 19 at 7pm in Finnish Veikkausliiga
Last Game: KuPS 0-1 Haka
Wednesday, June 12 at 4pm in Finnish Veikkausliiga
Last Game: KuPS 4-1 Oulu
Saturday, June 8 at 3pm in Finnish Veikkausliiga
Last Game: UNA Strassen 0-0 KuPS
Thursday, July 11 at 6pm in Europa Conference League


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