Europa Conference League | First Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg
Jul 18, 2024 at 4pm UK
Savon Sanomat Areena
Ruoppi (18', 20'), Vidjeskog (48'), Diawara (75'), Heinonen (90+1')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Bernardelli (56')
Coverage of the Europa Conference League First Qualifying Round clash between KuPS and UNA Strassen.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a KuPS win with a probability of 79.37%. A draw had a probability of 13.5% and a win for UNA Strassen had a probability of 7.11%.
The most likely scoreline for a KuPS win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.13%) and 1-0 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.42%), while for a UNA Strassen win it was 0-1 (2.41%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that KuPS would win this match.
| Result |
| KuPS | Draw | UNA Strassen |
79.37% ( 0.26) | 13.51% ( -0.11) | 7.11% ( -0.15) |
| Both teams to score 45.76% ( -0.35) |
| 64.74% ( -0.03) | 35.26% ( 0.03) |
| 42.72% ( -0.03) | 57.28% ( 0.03) |
| 92.98% ( 0.05) | 7.02% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 74.34% ( 0.13) | 25.66% ( -0.13) |
| 49.21% ( -0.41) | 50.79% ( 0.4) |
