SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a KuPS win with a probability of 59.44%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Gnistan had a probability of 19.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a KuPS win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.82%) and 2-0 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.07%), while for a Gnistan win it was 1-2 (5.17%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that KuPS would win this match.
| Result | ||
| KuPS | Draw | Gnistan |
59.44% ( 0.53) | 21.46% ( -0.18) | 19.1% ( -0.36) |
| Both teams to score 55.27% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.73% ( 0.29) | 42.27% ( -0.29) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.33% ( 0.29) | 64.67% ( -0.29) |
| KuPS Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.14% ( 0.26) | 13.86% ( -0.26) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.75% ( 0.52) | 41.25% ( -0.52) |
| Gnistan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.16% ( -0.21) | 35.84% ( 0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.38% ( -0.21) | 72.61% ( 0.21) |
| Score Analysis |
| KuPS | Draw | Gnistan |
| 2-1 @ 9.95% ( 0) 1-0 @ 9.82% ( -0.04)2-0 @ 9.7% ( 0.06)3-1 @ 6.56% ( 0.07)3-0 @ 6.39% ( 0.1)3-2 @ 3.36% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 3.24% ( 0.06)4-0 @ 3.16% ( 0.08)4-2 @ 1.66% ( 0.02)5-1 @ 1.28% ( 0.04)5-0 @ 1.25% ( 0.04)Other @ 3.08% Total : 59.44% | 1-1 @ 10.07% ( -0.09) 2-2 @ 5.11% ( -0.02)0-0 @ 4.97% ( -0.07)3-3 @ 1.15% ( -0)Other @ 0.16% Total : 21.45% | 1-2 @ 5.17% ( -0.08) 0-1 @ 5.1% ( -0.09)0-2 @ 2.62% ( -0.06)1-3 @ 1.77% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 1.75% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.71% Total : 19.1% |
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