SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a HJK Helsinki win with a probability of 38%. A win for KuPS had a probability of 35.76% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a HJK Helsinki win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.34%) and 2-0 (6.47%). The likeliest KuPS win was 0-1 (9.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.47%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that HJK Helsinki would win this match.
| Result | ||
| HJK Helsinki | Draw | KuPS |
38% ( 0.01) | 26.23% ( 0.01) | 35.76% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 53.41% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.8% ( -0.04) | 51.2% ( 0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.96% ( -0.03) | 73.04% ( 0.03) |
| HJK Helsinki Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.73% ( -0.01) | 26.27% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.62% ( -0.01) | 61.38% ( 0.01) |
| KuPS Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.44% ( -0.03) | 27.56% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.92% ( -0.04) | 63.08% ( 0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| HJK Helsinki | Draw | KuPS |
| 1-0 @ 9.68% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.34% 2-0 @ 6.47% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 3.72% ( -0)3-0 @ 2.88% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.39% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.24% 4-0 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.32% Total : 38% | 1-1 @ 12.47% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.24% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 5.37% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.03% ( -0)Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.23% | 0-1 @ 9.33% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 8.04% ( -0)0-2 @ 6.01% ( -0)1-3 @ 3.45% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 2.58% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.31% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.11% ( -0)Other @ 2.93% Total : 35.76% |
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