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Premier League | Gameweek 17
Jan 19, 2022 at 7.30pm UK
King Power Stadium
SL
Leicester
2 - 3
Spurs
Daka (24'), Maddison (76')
Choudhury (55')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Kane (38'), Bergwijn (90+5', 90+7')
Sanchez (59'), Bergwijn (90+4')

We said: Leicester City 1-2 Tottenham Hotspur

While both sides are battling with squads far from full strength, Conte's team arguably have more of their stars available, and they should have enough to get over the line on Wednesday. With the Foxes potentially rusty from a lack of action and the visitors battling to leapfrog Arsenal, we predict a narrow away win. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City win with a probability of 38.53%. A win for Tottenham Hotspur had a probability of 36.17% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.49%) and 2-0 (6.19%). The likeliest Tottenham Hotspur win was 0-1 (8.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.92%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Tottenham Hotspur would win this match.

Result
Leicester CityDrawTottenham Hotspur
38.53%25.29%36.17%
Both teams to score 56.67%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.96%47.03%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.72%69.27%
Leicester City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.93%24.07%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.64%58.35%
Tottenham Hotspur Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.64%25.35%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.85%60.15%
Score Analysis
    Leicester City 38.53%
    Tottenham Hotspur 36.17%
    Draw 25.28%
Leicester CityDrawTottenham Hotspur
1-0 @ 8.69%
2-1 @ 8.49%
2-0 @ 6.19%
3-1 @ 4.03%
3-0 @ 2.94%
3-2 @ 2.77%
4-1 @ 1.44%
4-0 @ 1.05%
4-2 @ 0.99%
Other @ 1.96%
Total : 38.53%
1-1 @ 11.92%
0-0 @ 6.1%
2-2 @ 5.83%
3-3 @ 1.27%
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 25.28%
0-1 @ 8.38%
1-2 @ 8.18%
0-2 @ 5.75%
1-3 @ 3.74%
2-3 @ 2.67%
0-3 @ 2.63%
1-4 @ 1.28%
2-4 @ 0.91%
0-4 @ 0.9%
Other @ 1.73%
Total : 36.17%

Read more!
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