SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Linfield win with a probability of 57.27%. A win for Stjarnan had a probability of 22.26% and a draw had a probability of 20.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Linfield win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.41%) and 3-1 (6.88%). The likeliest Stjarnan win was 1-2 (5.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.85%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Linfield would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Linfield | Draw | Stjarnan |
57.27% ( 0.3) | 20.46% ( -0.11) | 22.26% ( -0.19) |
| Both teams to score 64.08% ( 0.12) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 66.95% ( 0.27) | 33.05% ( -0.27) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 45.22% ( 0.31) | 54.78% ( -0.31) |
| Linfield Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.46% ( 0.17) | 11.54% ( -0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 63.54% ( 0.36) | 36.45% ( -0.36) |
| Stjarnan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.44% ( -0.01) | 27.56% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.92% ( -0.01) | 63.07% ( 0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Linfield | Draw | Stjarnan |
| 2-1 @ 9.56% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 7.41% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 6.88% ( 0.04)1-0 @ 6.87% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 5.34% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 4.43% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 3.71% ( 0.05)4-0 @ 2.88% ( 0.04)4-2 @ 2.39% ( 0.03)5-1 @ 1.6% ( 0.03)5-0 @ 1.25% ( 0.02)5-2 @ 1.03% ( 0.02)4-3 @ 1.03% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.88% Total : 57.27% | 1-1 @ 8.85% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 6.16% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 3.18% ( -0.05)3-3 @ 1.91% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.37% Total : 20.46% | 1-2 @ 5.7% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 4.1% ( -0.06)2-3 @ 2.65% ( -0)0-2 @ 2.64% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 2.45% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 1.13% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.59% Total : 22.26% |
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