Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Linfield win with a probability of 47.71%. A win for Crusaders had a probability of 27.57% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Linfield win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.41%) and 0-2 (8.1%). The likeliest Crusaders win was 1-0 (7.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Linfield would win this match.

Result
Crusaders	Draw	Linfield
27.57% ( 0.29)	24.72% ( 0.14)	47.71% ( -0.43)

Both teams to score 54.96% (

-0.23)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.35% (

-0.41)

47.66% (

0.41)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.15% (

-0.38)

69.86% (

0.39)

Crusaders Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.73% (

0.01)

31.27% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.38% (

0.01)

67.63% (

-0.01)

Linfield Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.97% (

-0.34)

20.03% (

0.35)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.76% (

-0.56)

52.24% (

0.56)

Score Analysis

Crusaders 27.57%

Linfield 47.71%

Draw 24.72%

Crusaders	Draw	Linfield
1-0 @ 7.28% ( 0.13) 2-1 @ 6.81% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 4.23% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 2.64% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.12% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 1.64% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.86% Total : 27.57%	1-1 @ 11.7% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 6.26% ( 0.11) 2-2 @ 5.47% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.14% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.14% Total : 24.72%	0-1 @ 10.07% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 9.41% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 8.1% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 5.05% ( -0.08) 0-3 @ 4.34% ( -0.07) 2-3 @ 2.93% ( -0.04) 1-4 @ 2.03% ( -0.05) 0-4 @ 1.75% ( -0.05) 2-4 @ 1.18% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.86% Total : 47.71%