Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Maccabi Tel Aviv win with a probability of 48.61%. A draw had a probability of 26.7% and a win for Alashkert FC had a probability of 24.73%.
The most likely scoreline for a Maccabi Tel Aviv win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.54%) and 2-1 (9.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.51%), while for an Alashkert FC win it was 0-1 (8.67%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Maccabi Tel Aviv would win this match.