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Europa League | Third Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg
Aug 12, 2021 at 4pm UK
Stadion Nairi

Alashkert
3 - 2
Kairat

Embalo (43', 50'), Glisic (104')
Boljevic (59'), Grigoryan (90+4'), Cancarevic (120+1')
FT
(aet)
Abiken (45+1'), Shushenachev (61')
Alip (33'), Dugalic (47'), Kante (54'), Abiken (92'), Buranchiev (115')
Polyakov (62'), Abiken (92')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alashkert FC win with a probability of 41.86%. A win for Kairat had a probability of 32.77% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for an Alashkert FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.87%) and 2-0 (6.94%). The likeliest Kairat win was 0-1 (8.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12%).

Result
Alashkert FCDrawKairat
41.86%25.37%32.77%
Both teams to score 55.67%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.98%48.02%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.81%70.19%
Alashkert FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.17%22.83%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.45%56.55%
Kairat Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.13%27.87%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.53%63.47%
Score Analysis
    Alashkert FC 41.86%
    Kairat 32.77%
    Draw 25.37%
Alashkert FCDrawKairat
1-0 @ 9.4%
2-1 @ 8.87%
2-0 @ 6.94%
3-1 @ 4.37%
3-0 @ 3.42%
3-2 @ 2.79%
4-1 @ 1.61%
4-0 @ 1.26%
4-2 @ 1.03%
Other @ 2.18%
Total : 41.86%
1-1 @ 12%
0-0 @ 6.36%
2-2 @ 5.67%
3-3 @ 1.19%
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.37%
0-1 @ 8.13%
1-2 @ 7.67%
0-2 @ 5.19%
1-3 @ 3.27%
2-3 @ 2.41%
0-3 @ 2.21%
1-4 @ 1.04%
Other @ 2.84%
Total : 32.77%

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