Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PAOK win with a probability of 78.71%. A draw had a probability of 15.2% and a win for Apollon Smyrni had a probability of 6.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a PAOK win was 2-0 with a probability of 16.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (14.32%) and 3-0 (12.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.83%), while for an Apollon Smyrni win it was 0-1 (2.97%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that PAOK would win this match.