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Conference League | Third Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg
Aug 17, 2023 at 6.30pm UK
Stadio Toumbas

PAOK
3 - 0
Hajduk Split

Schwab (12' pen.), Zivkovic (79', 85')
Rahman (51'), Konstantelias (56'), Samatta (75')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Moufi (23'), Sarlija (51'), Odjidja-Ofoe (63'), Diallo (84'), Cuic (89')
Coverage of the Conference League Third Qualifying Round clash between PAOK and Hajduk Split.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Hajduk Split 0-0 PAOK
Thursday, August 10 at 8pm in Europa Conference League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PAOK win with a probability of 55.37%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Hajduk Split had a probability of 21.05%.

The most likely scoreline for a PAOK win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10%) and 2-1 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.21%), while for a Hajduk Split win it was 0-1 (6.43%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that PAOK would win this match.

Result
PAOKDrawHajduk Split
55.37% (0.013000000000005 0.01) 23.58% (-0.101 -0.1) 21.05% (0.094000000000001 0.09)
Both teams to score 51.49% (0.452 0.45)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.17% (0.533 0.53)48.83% (-0.527 -0.53)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.07% (0.481 0.48)70.93% (-0.47399999999999 -0.47)
PAOK Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.51% (0.202 0.2)17.49% (-0.194 -0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.02% (0.34500000000001 0.35)47.98% (-0.338 -0.34)
Hajduk Split Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.4% (0.402 0.4)37.6% (-0.39400000000001 -0.39)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.62% (0.389 0.39)74.38% (-0.38199999999999 -0.38)
Score Analysis
    PAOK 55.36%
    Hajduk Split 21.05%
    Draw 23.58%
PAOKDrawHajduk Split
1-0 @ 11.46% (-0.18 -0.18)
2-0 @ 10% (-0.084 -0.08)
2-1 @ 9.78% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
3-0 @ 5.81% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-1 @ 5.68% (0.047 0.05)
3-2 @ 2.78% (0.052 0.05)
4-0 @ 2.53% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.48% (0.036 0.04)
4-2 @ 1.21% (0.031 0.03)
Other @ 3.64%
Total : 55.36%
1-1 @ 11.21% (-0.049999999999999 -0.05)
0-0 @ 6.58% (-0.143 -0.14)
2-2 @ 4.78% (0.06 0.06)
3-3 @ 0.91% (0.026 0.03)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 23.58%
0-1 @ 6.43% (-0.069999999999999 -0.07)
1-2 @ 5.49% (0.035 0.04)
0-2 @ 3.15%
1-3 @ 1.79% (0.03 0.03)
2-3 @ 1.56% (0.036 0.04)
0-3 @ 1.03% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 1.61%
Total : 21.05%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Hajduk Split 0-0 PAOK
Thursday, August 10 at 8pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Beitar Jerusalem 1-4 PAOK
Thursday, August 3 at 6.30pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: PAOK 0-0 Beitar Jerusalem
Thursday, July 27 at 6.30pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: PAOK 0-1 Olympiacos
Sunday, May 14 at 6pm in Greek Superleague
Last Game: Volos 0-2 PAOK
Monday, May 8 at 7pm in Greek Superleague
Last Game: Panathinaikos 1-1 PAOK
Wednesday, May 3 at 6pm in Greek Superleague
Last Game: Hajduk Split 3-0 Slaven Koprivnica
Sunday, August 13 at 8.05pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Hajduk Split 0-0 PAOK
Thursday, August 10 at 8pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Hajduk Split 1-0 Rijeka
Sunday, July 30 at 8.05pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Dinamo Zagreb 1-2 Hajduk Split
Friday, July 21 at 7pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Trabzonspor 0-2 Hajduk Split
Saturday, July 8 at 10.30am in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Hajduk Split 0-2 Villarreal
Thursday, August 25 at 8pm in Europa Conference League


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