Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PAOK win with a probability of 55.37%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Hajduk Split had a probability of 21.05%.
The most likely scoreline for a PAOK win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10%) and 2-1 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.21%), while for a Hajduk Split win it was 0-1 (6.43%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that PAOK would win this match.
Result | ||
PAOK | Draw | Hajduk Split |
55.37% ( 0.01) | 23.58% ( -0.1) | 21.05% ( 0.09) |
Both teams to score 51.49% ( 0.45) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.17% ( 0.53) | 48.83% ( -0.53) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.07% ( 0.48) | 70.93% ( -0.47) |
PAOK Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.51% ( 0.2) | 17.49% ( -0.19) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.02% ( 0.35) | 47.98% ( -0.34) |
Hajduk Split Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.4% ( 0.4) | 37.6% ( -0.39) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.62% ( 0.39) | 74.38% ( -0.38) |
Score Analysis |
PAOK | Draw | Hajduk Split |
1-0 @ 11.46% ( -0.18) 2-0 @ 10% ( -0.08) 2-1 @ 9.78% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 5.81% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 5.68% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 2.78% ( 0.05) 4-0 @ 2.53% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.48% ( 0.04) 4-2 @ 1.21% ( 0.03) Other @ 3.64% Total : 55.36% | 1-1 @ 11.21% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 6.58% ( -0.14) 2-2 @ 4.78% ( 0.06) 3-3 @ 0.91% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.1% Total : 23.58% | 0-1 @ 6.43% ( -0.07) 1-2 @ 5.49% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 3.15% 1-3 @ 1.79% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 1.56% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 1.03% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.61% Total : 21.05% |
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