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Croatian 1. HNL | Gameweek 1
Jul 21, 2023 at 7pm UK
Stadion Maksimir

Dinamo Zagreb
1 - 2
Hajduk Split

Petkovic (35')
Misic (76')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Livaja (74'), Pukstas (90+3')
Krovinovic (38'), Dolcek (76'), Sarlija (76'), Ferro (90+1')
Coverage of the Croatian 1. HNL clash between Dinamo Zagreb and Hajduk Split.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dinamo Zagreb win with a probability of 53.65%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Hajduk Split had a probability of 21.85%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dinamo Zagreb win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.03%) and 2-1 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.63%), while for a Hajduk Split win it was 0-1 (7.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.

Result
Dinamo ZagrebDrawHajduk Split
53.65%24.49%21.85%
Both teams to score 49.81%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.4%51.6%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.61%73.39%
Dinamo Zagreb Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.82%19.17%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.16%50.84%
Hajduk Split Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.63%38.37%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.87%75.12%
Score Analysis
    Dinamo Zagreb 53.64%
    Hajduk Split 21.85%
    Draw 24.48%
Dinamo ZagrebDrawHajduk Split
1-0 @ 12.14%
2-0 @ 10.03%
2-1 @ 9.61%
3-0 @ 5.53%
3-1 @ 5.29%
3-2 @ 2.54%
4-0 @ 2.28%
4-1 @ 2.19%
4-2 @ 1.05%
Other @ 2.99%
Total : 53.64%
1-1 @ 11.63%
0-0 @ 7.36%
2-2 @ 4.6%
Other @ 0.9%
Total : 24.48%
0-1 @ 7.05%
1-2 @ 5.58%
0-2 @ 3.38%
1-3 @ 1.78%
2-3 @ 1.47%
0-3 @ 1.08%
Other @ 1.53%
Total : 21.85%


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