SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Villarreal | 2 | 5 | 6 |
| 2 | Real Madrid | 2 | 4 | 6 |
| 3 | Real Betis | 2 | 4 | 6 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 50.53%. A win for Hajduk Split had a probability of 25.39% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.62%) and 0-2 (8.54%). The likeliest Hajduk Split win was 1-0 (6.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.39%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Villarreal would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Hajduk Split | Draw | Villarreal |
25.39% ( 0.27) | 24.09% ( 0.02) | 50.53% ( -0.28) |
| Both teams to score 55.1% ( 0.23) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.43% ( 0.17) | 46.57% ( -0.17) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.16% ( 0.16) | 68.85% ( -0.16) |
| Hajduk Split Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.58% ( 0.32) | 32.42% ( -0.31) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.06% ( 0.35) | 68.94% ( -0.35) |
| Villarreal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.54% ( -0.04) | 18.47% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.34% ( -0.07) | 49.66% ( 0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hajduk Split | Draw | Villarreal |
| 1-0 @ 6.74% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 6.42% ( 0.05)2-0 @ 3.8% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 2.41% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 2.03% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 1.43% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.56% Total : 25.39% | 1-1 @ 11.39% 0-0 @ 5.99% ( -0.04)2-2 @ 5.42% ( 0.04)3-3 @ 1.15% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.09% | 0-1 @ 10.11% ( -0.09) 1-2 @ 9.62% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 8.54% ( -0.09)1-3 @ 5.42% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 4.81% ( -0.06)2-3 @ 3.05% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 2.29% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 2.03% ( -0.03)2-4 @ 1.29% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.36% Total : 50.52% |
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