SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pogon Szczecin win with a probability of 53.56%. A win for Linfield had a probability of 23.52% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pogon Szczecin win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.45%) and 2-0 (8.63%). The likeliest Linfield win was 1-2 (6.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.72%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Pogon Szczecin would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Pogon Szczecin | Draw | Linfield |
53.56% ( 0.14) | 22.92% ( -0.06) | 23.52% ( -0.09) |
| Both teams to score 56.93% ( 0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.82% ( 0.17) | 43.18% ( -0.17) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.42% ( 0.16) | 65.58% ( -0.17) |
| Pogon Szczecin Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.91% ( 0.11) | 16.09% ( -0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.51% ( 0.2) | 45.49% ( -0.2) |
| Linfield Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.85% ( 0.02) | 32.14% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.37% ( 0.02) | 68.63% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Pogon Szczecin | Draw | Linfield |
| 2-1 @ 9.8% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 9.45% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 8.63% 3-1 @ 5.97% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 5.26% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 3.39% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 2.72% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 2.4% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.55% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 1% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.41% Total : 53.56% | 1-1 @ 10.72% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 5.56% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 5.17% ( -0.04)3-3 @ 1.28% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.18% Total : 22.91% | 1-2 @ 6.09% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 5.87% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 3.33% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 2.3% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.1% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.26% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.57% Total : 23.52% |
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