Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a HJK Helsinki win with a probability of 41.16%. A win for Maccabi Tel Aviv had a probability of 34.41% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a HJK Helsinki win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.08%) and 0-2 (6.28%). The likeliest Maccabi Tel Aviv win was 2-1 (7.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.32%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood.
