In a battle between two sides with impeccable records in the Eredivisie this season, any outcome is possible, and we expect them to cancel out each other's efforts in a stalemate.
While Ajax lead the league at both ends of the pitch, their hosts come a close second in both departments, and, with Haller missing and the incentive of staying top, we fancy them to earn a share of the spoils.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 60.63%. A draw had a probability of 20.2% and a win for PSV Eindhoven had a probability of 19.16%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.7%) and 0-1 (8.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.15%), while for a PSV Eindhoven win it was 2-1 (5.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Ajax in this match.
