SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Riga FC win with a probability of 45.32%. A win for MFK Ruzomberok had a probability of 29.18% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Riga FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.16%) and 2-0 (7.89%). The likeliest MFK Ruzomberok win was 0-1 (8.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.11%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Riga FC would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Riga FC | Draw | MFK Ruzomberok |
45.32% ( 0.15) | 25.5% ( 0.03) | 29.18% ( -0.18) |
| Both teams to score 53.55% ( -0.21) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.99% ( -0.22) | 50.01% ( 0.22) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.01% ( -0.2) | 71.99% ( 0.2) |
| Riga FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.96% ( -0.02) | 22.05% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.62% ( -0.04) | 55.38% ( 0.04) |
| MFK Ruzomberok Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.7% ( -0.24) | 31.3% ( 0.24) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.34% ( -0.28) | 67.66% ( 0.29) |
| Score Analysis |
| Riga FC | Draw | MFK Ruzomberok |
| 1-0 @ 10.43% ( 0.09) 2-1 @ 9.16% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 7.89% ( 0.06)3-1 @ 4.62% ( -0)3-0 @ 3.98% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 2.68% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.75% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.5% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.01% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.3% Total : 45.32% | 1-1 @ 12.11% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.9% ( 0.06)2-2 @ 5.32% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 1.04% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.49% | 0-1 @ 8.02% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 7.04% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 4.66% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 2.73% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 2.06% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 1.8% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.88% Total : 29.18% |
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