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Europa Conference League | First Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg
Jul 14, 2022 at 6pm UK
Stadions Skonto
DC

Riga FC
2 - 0
Derry

Ramos (33', 76')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Coverage of the Europa Conference League First Qualifying Round clash between Riga FC and Derry City.

Form, Standings, Stats

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Derry 0-2 Riga FC
Thursday, July 7 at 7.45pm in Europa Conference League
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Derry 0-2 Riga FC
Thursday, July 7 at 7.45pm in Europa Conference League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Riga FC win with a probability of 37.05%. A win for Derry City had a probability of 35.51% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Riga FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8%) and 2-0 (6.67%). The likeliest Derry City win was 0-1 (10.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.98%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Riga FC would win this match.

Result
Riga FCDrawDerry City
37.05% (-0.041000000000004 -0.04) 27.44% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02) 35.51% (0.064 0.06)
Both teams to score 49.52% (0.081000000000003 0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.89% (0.097999999999999 0.1)56.11% (-0.096000000000004 -0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.82% (0.080000000000002 0.08)77.18% (-0.079000000000008 -0.08)
Riga FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.84% (0.025999999999996 0.03)29.16% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.91% (0.030999999999999 0.03)65.1% (-0.028999999999996 -0.03)
Derry City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.9% (0.087999999999994 0.09)30.1% (-0.087 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.76% (0.108 0.11)66.24% (-0.105 -0.11)
Score Analysis
    Riga FC 37.04%
    Derry City 35.51%
    Draw 27.43%
Riga FCDrawDerry City
1-0 @ 10.81% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
2-1 @ 8%
2-0 @ 6.67% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-1 @ 3.29% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-0 @ 2.74% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-2 @ 1.97% (0.006 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.01% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 37.04%
1-1 @ 12.98% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 8.78% (-0.032 -0.03)
2-2 @ 4.8% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 0.87%
Total : 27.43%
0-1 @ 10.53% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
1-2 @ 7.8% (0.014 0.01)
0-2 @ 6.33% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.12% (0.013 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.53% (0.008 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.92% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
1-4 @ 0.94% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 2.35%
Total : 35.51%

Read more!
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Form Guide
Last Game: Derry 0-2 Riga FC
Thursday, July 7 at 7.45pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Lincoln 3-1 Riga FC
Thursday, August 26 at 5pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Riga FC 1-1 Lincoln
Thursday, August 19 at 6pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Hibernians 1-4 Riga FC
Thursday, August 12 at 7pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Riga FC 0-1 Hibernians
Thursday, August 5 at 6pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Shkendija 0-1 Riga FC
Thursday, July 29 at 7pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Derry 0-2 Riga FC
Thursday, July 7 at 7.45pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Bohemians 2-3 Derry
Friday, July 1 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Last Game: UCD 0-1 Derry
Friday, June 24 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Last Game: Derry 1-1 Drogheda
Friday, June 17 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Last Game: Derry 2-2 Finn Harps
Friday, May 27 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Last Game: Sligo 2-1 Derry
Monday, May 23 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier


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