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Europa Conference League | First Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Jul 7, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
The Ryan McBride Brandywell Stadium

Derry
0 - 2
Riga FC


McEleney (36'), Patching (66'), (68')
Smith (66')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Ramos (41'), Filippov (68')
Aurelio (30'), Cernomordijs (52'), Muzinga (65'), Vakulko (79')
Coverage of the Europa Conference League First Qualifying Round clash between Derry City and Riga FC.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bohemians 2-3 Derry
Friday, July 1 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Last Game: Lincoln 3-1 Riga FC
Thursday, August 26 at 5pm in Europa Conference League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derry City win with a probability of 48.19%. A win for Riga FC had a probability of 27.28% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derry City win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.46%) and 2-0 (8.11%). The likeliest Riga FC win was 0-1 (7.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.6%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood.

Result
Derry CityDrawRiga FC
48.19% (0.052 0.05) 24.53% (-0.02 -0.02) 27.28% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)
Both teams to score 55.37% (0.042999999999999 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.98% (0.068000000000005 0.07)47.02% (-0.067 -0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.74% (0.062999999999999 0.06)69.26% (-0.061999999999998 -0.06)
Derry City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.43% (0.049999999999997 0.05)19.58% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.5% (0.080000000000005 0.08)51.5% (-0.079999999999998 -0.08)
Riga FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.84% (0.01100000000001 0.01)31.16% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.51% (0.014000000000003 0.01)67.49% (-0.012 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Derry City 48.19%
    Riga FC 27.28%
    Draw 24.53%
Derry CityDrawRiga FC
1-0 @ 9.95% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.46% (0.004999999999999 0)
2-0 @ 8.11% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-1 @ 5.14% (0.010000000000001 0.01)
3-0 @ 4.41% (0.008 0.01)
3-2 @ 3% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.1% (0.008 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.8% (0.006 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.22% (0.004 0)
Other @ 3%
Total : 48.19%
1-1 @ 11.6% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.1% (-0.018 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.52% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-3 @ 1.17% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 24.53%
0-1 @ 7.11% (-0.019 -0.02)
1-2 @ 6.76% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-2 @ 4.15% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.63% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 2.14% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 1.61% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.88%
Total : 27.28%

Read more!
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Form Guide
Last Game: Bohemians 2-3 Derry
Friday, July 1 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Last Game: UCD 0-1 Derry
Friday, June 24 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Last Game: Derry 1-1 Drogheda
Friday, June 17 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Last Game: Derry 2-2 Finn Harps
Friday, May 27 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Last Game: Sligo 2-1 Derry
Monday, May 23 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Last Game: Derry 1-2 Dundalk
Friday, May 20 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Last Game: Lincoln 3-1 Riga FC
Thursday, August 26 at 5pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Riga FC 1-1 Lincoln
Thursday, August 19 at 6pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Hibernians 1-4 Riga FC
Thursday, August 12 at 7pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Riga FC 0-1 Hibernians
Thursday, August 5 at 6pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Shkendija 0-1 Riga FC
Thursday, July 29 at 7pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Riga FC 2-0 Shkendija
Thursday, July 22 at 6pm in Europa Conference League


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