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Conference League | Third Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Aug 4, 2022 at 5pm UK
Daugavas Stadiona, Riga

RFS
1 - 1
Hibernians

Ilic (85')
Zjuzins (29'), Deocleciano (36'), Saric (80')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Vella (39')
Thaylor (11'), Vella (29'), Diakite (42'), Soares (49'), Kone (87')
Thaylor (26')
Coverage of the Conference League Third Qualifying Round clash between Rigas Futbola Skola and Hibernians.

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: RFS 2-1 HJK Helsinki (4-5 pen.)
Tuesday, July 12 at 4.30pm in Champions League
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Last Game: Levadia 1-1 Hibernians
Thursday, July 28 at 6pm in Europa Conference League
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rigas Futbola Skola win with a probability of 50.1%. A win for Hibernians had a probability of 25.33% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rigas Futbola Skola win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.55%) and 2-0 (8.76%). The likeliest Hibernians win was 0-1 (7.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood.

Result
Rigas Futbola SkolaDrawHibernians
50.1% (0.026000000000003 0.03) 24.57% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02) 25.33% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
Both teams to score 53.48% (0.052 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.32% (0.071000000000005 0.07)48.68% (-0.07 -0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.2% (0.063000000000002 0.06)70.79% (-0.063999999999993 -0.06)
Rigas Futbola Skola Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.55% (0.039000000000001 0.04)19.45% (-0.038 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.7% (0.061 0.06)51.3% (-0.061 -0.06)
Hibernians Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.4% (0.031999999999996 0.03)33.6% (-0.032000000000004 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.75% (0.032 0.03)70.25% (-0.031000000000006 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Rigas Futbola Skola 50.1%
    Hibernians 25.33%
    Draw 24.57%
Rigas Futbola SkolaDrawHibernians
1-0 @ 10.7% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.55% (0.0039999999999996 0)
2-0 @ 8.76% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
3-1 @ 5.21% (0.008 0.01)
3-0 @ 4.78% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 2.84% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.13% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.96% (0.004 0)
4-2 @ 1.16% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.99%
Total : 50.1%
1-1 @ 11.67% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.54% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.21% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.03% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 24.57%
0-1 @ 7.13% (-0.014 -0.01)
1-2 @ 6.37% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-2 @ 3.89% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-3 @ 2.31% (0.0020000000000002 0)
2-3 @ 1.89% (0.004 0)
0-3 @ 1.41% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 25.33%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: RFS 2-1 HJK Helsinki (4-5 pen.)
Tuesday, July 12 at 4.30pm in Champions League
Last Game: HJK Helsinki 1-0 RFS
Wednesday, July 6 at 5pm in Champions League
Last Game: RFS 0-1 Gent
Thursday, August 12 at 6pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Gent 2-2 RFS
Thursday, August 5 at 7.30pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Puskas Academy 0-2 RFS
Thursday, July 29 at 7pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: RFS 3-0 Puskas Academy
Thursday, July 22 at 5pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Levadia 1-1 Hibernians
Thursday, July 28 at 6pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Hibernians 3-2 Levadia
Tuesday, July 19 at 7pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Hibernians 0-0 Shamrock
Tuesday, July 12 at 7pm in Champions League
Last Game: Shamrock 3-0 Hibernians
Tuesday, July 5 at 7.30pm in Champions League
Last Game: Hibernians 1-4 Riga FC
Thursday, August 12 at 7pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Riga FC 0-1 Hibernians
Thursday, August 5 at 6pm in Europa Conference League


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