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Champions League | First Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg
Jul 12, 2022 at 4.30pm UK
Rīgas 49. vidusskolas sporta komplekss
HL

RFS
2 - 1
HJK Helsinki

HJK Helsinki win 5-4 on penalties
Zjuzins (48'), Panic (56')
Lipuscek (21'), Vlalukin (21'), Zjuzins (29'), Jatta (39'), Friesenbichler (66'), Mares (77'), Saric (102')
FT
(aet)
Murilo (75')
Murilo (44'), Tenho (81'), Radulovic (93'), Hetemaj (109')

Form, Standings, Stats

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: HJK Helsinki 1-0 RFS
Wednesday, July 6 at 5pm in Champions League
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: HJK Helsinki 1-0 RFS
Wednesday, July 6 at 5pm in Champions League

We say: Rigas Futbola Skola 1-2 HJK Helsinki

Rigas are certainly capable of turning the tie around on home soil, but we are finding it difficult to back the Latvian side on Tuesday night. HJK have put themselves in a strong position to progress, and we are also expecting them to win the second leg in Riga to record a 3-1 aggregate success. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a HJK Helsinki win with a probability of 41.44%. A win for Rigas Futbola Skola had a probability of 34.18% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a HJK Helsinki win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.07%) and 0-2 (6.31%). The likeliest Rigas Futbola Skola win was 2-1 (7.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.29%).

Result
Rigas Futbola SkolaDrawHJK Helsinki
34.18% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01) 24.38% (-0.00099999999999767 -0) 41.44% (0.009999999999998 0.01)
Both teams to score 59.57% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.87% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)43.12% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.48% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)65.52% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)
Rigas Futbola Skola Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.33% (-0.0039999999999907 -0)24.66% (0.0019999999999989 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.81% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)59.18% (0.0030000000000001 0)
HJK Helsinki Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.07% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)20.92% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.35% (0.0089999999999932 0.01)53.65% (-0.012 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Rigas Futbola Skola 34.18%
    HJK Helsinki 41.44%
    Draw 24.37%
Rigas Futbola SkolaDrawHJK Helsinki
2-1 @ 7.91% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-0 @ 7.22% (-0.0029999999999992 -0)
2-0 @ 5.06% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 3.69% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-2 @ 2.89%
3-0 @ 2.36% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 1.29%
4-2 @ 1.01% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 34.18%
1-1 @ 11.29% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
2-2 @ 6.19%
0-0 @ 5.16% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-3 @ 1.51% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 24.37%
1-2 @ 8.84% (0.0020000000000007 0)
0-1 @ 8.07%
0-2 @ 6.31% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-3 @ 4.61% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-3 @ 3.29% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 3.23% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-4 @ 1.8% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-4 @ 1.29% (0.0010000000000001 0)
2-4 @ 1.26% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 41.44%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: HJK Helsinki 1-0 RFS
Wednesday, July 6 at 5pm in Champions League
Last Game: RFS 0-1 Gent
Thursday, August 12 at 6pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Gent 2-2 RFS
Thursday, August 5 at 7.30pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Puskas Academy 0-2 RFS
Thursday, July 29 at 7pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: RFS 3-0 Puskas Academy
Thursday, July 22 at 5pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: KI 2-4 RFS
Thursday, July 15 at 8pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: HJK Helsinki 1-0 RFS
Wednesday, July 6 at 5pm in Champions League
Last Game: HJK Helsinki 1-1 KuPS
Saturday, July 2 at 3pm in Finnish Veikkausliiga
Last Game: Mariehamn 2-1 HJK Helsinki
Wednesday, June 22 at 5pm in Finnish Veikkausliiga
Last Game: HJK Helsinki 0-1 Oulu
Saturday, June 18 at 3pm in Finnish Veikkausliiga
Last Game: KuPS 0-0 HJK Helsinki
Sunday, May 29 at 2pm in Finnish Veikkausliiga
Last Game: HJK Helsinki 4-1 Haka
Sunday, May 22 at 4.30pm in Finnish Veikkausliiga


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