SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Shamrock Rovers | 23 | 23 | 51 |
| 2 | Dundalk | 21 | 17 | 41 |
| 3 | Derry City | 22 | 17 | 40 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shamrock Rovers win with a probability of 45.83%. A win for Hibernians had a probability of 31.64% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shamrock Rovers win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.5%) and 2-0 (5.99%). The likeliest Hibernians win was 1-2 (7.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.77%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Shamrock Rovers would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Shamrock Rovers | Draw | Hibernians |
45.83% ( -0) | 22.53% ( 0.01) | 31.64% ( -0) |
| Both teams to score 65.41% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.93% ( -0.03) | 35.07% ( 0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.93% ( -0.03) | 57.07% ( 0.03) |
| Shamrock Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.15% ( -0.01) | 15.85% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.95% ( -0.03) | 45.04% ( 0.03) |
| Hibernians Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.73% ( -0.01) | 22.27% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.28% ( -0.02) | 55.72% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Shamrock Rovers | Draw | Hibernians |
| 2-1 @ 8.99% ( 0) 1-0 @ 6.5% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 5.99% ( 0)3-1 @ 5.52% ( -0)3-2 @ 4.15% ( -0)3-0 @ 3.68% 4-1 @ 2.54% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.91% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.69% ( -0)4-3 @ 0.96% ( -0)5-1 @ 0.94% ( -0)Other @ 2.96% Total : 45.83% | 1-1 @ 9.77% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.75% ( -0)0-0 @ 3.53% ( 0)3-3 @ 2.08% ( -0)Other @ 0.4% Total : 22.53% | 1-2 @ 7.33% ( 0) 0-1 @ 5.3% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 3.98% ( 0)1-3 @ 3.67% ( -0)2-3 @ 3.38% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.99% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.38% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.27% ( -0)Other @ 3.33% Total : 31.64% |
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