SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | KuPS | 13 | 11 | 30 |
| 2 | HJK Helsinki | 14 | 6 | 27 |
| 3 | Honka | 12 | 10 | 24 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a HJK Helsinki win with a probability of 46.17%. A win for Rigas Futbola Skola had a probability of 29.72% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a HJK Helsinki win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.74%) and 2-0 (7.24%). The likeliest Rigas Futbola Skola win was 1-2 (7.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that HJK Helsinki would win this match.
| Result | ||
| HJK Helsinki | Draw | Rigas Futbola Skola |
46.17% ( -0.01) | 24.1% ( -0) | 29.72% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 58.55% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.39% ( 0.03) | 43.61% ( -0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34% ( 0.03) | 66% ( -0.03) |
| HJK Helsinki Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.94% ( 0.01) | 19.05% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.35% ( 0.01) | 50.64% ( -0.01) |
| Rigas Futbola Skola Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.34% ( 0.02) | 27.66% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.79% ( 0.03) | 63.21% ( -0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| HJK Helsinki | Draw | Rigas Futbola Skola |
| 2-1 @ 9.31% ( -0) 1-0 @ 8.74% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 7.24% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 5.14% 3-0 @ 4% ( -0)3-2 @ 3.31% ( 0)4-1 @ 2.13% 4-0 @ 1.66% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.37% ( 0)Other @ 3.27% Total : 46.17% | 1-1 @ 11.22% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.98% ( 0)0-0 @ 5.27% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.42% ( 0)Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.09% | 1-2 @ 7.22% ( 0) 0-1 @ 6.77% ( -0)0-2 @ 4.35% ( 0)1-3 @ 3.09% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.56% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.86% ( 0)1-4 @ 0.99% ( 0)Other @ 2.87% Total : 29.72% |
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