Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sheriff Tiraspol win with a probability of 52.72%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for NK Olimpija Ljubljana had a probability of 22.96%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sheriff Tiraspol win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.66%) and 2-0 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.56%), while for a NK Olimpija Ljubljana win it was 0-1 (6.92%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.
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