Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NK Olimpija Ljubljana win with a probability of 55.24%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Sheriff Tiraspol had a probability of 21.67%.
The most likely scoreline for a NK Olimpija Ljubljana win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.85%) and 2-0 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.93%), while for a Sheriff Tiraspol win it was 0-1 (6.07%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that NK Olimpija Ljubljana would win this match.
0.02) 
-0.01) 
