SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Slavia Prague win with a probability of 49.4%. A win for St Joseph's had a probability of 27.3% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Slavia Prague win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.5%) and 2-0 (7.54%). The likeliest St Joseph's win was 1-2 (6.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.74%). The actual scoreline of 7-0 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Slavia Prague would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Slavia Prague | Draw | St Joseph's |
49.4% ( 0.05) | 23.29% ( -0.01) | 27.3% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 59.57% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.53% ( -0.01) | 41.47% ( 0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.13% ( -0.01) | 63.87% ( 0.02) |
| Slavia Prague Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.04% ( 0.02) | 16.96% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.95% ( 0.03) | 47.05% ( -0.02) |
| St Joseph's Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.74% ( -0.03) | 28.26% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.03% ( -0.04) | 63.97% ( 0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Slavia Prague | Draw | St Joseph's |
| 2-1 @ 9.53% ( 0) 1-0 @ 8.5% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 7.54% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 5.64% ( 0)3-0 @ 4.46% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 3.56% ( -0)4-1 @ 2.5% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.98% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.58% Other @ 4.1% Total : 49.4% | 1-1 @ 10.74% 2-2 @ 6.02% ( -0)0-0 @ 4.79% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.5% ( -0)Other @ 0.23% Total : 23.29% | 1-2 @ 6.79% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 6.06% ( -0)0-2 @ 3.83% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 2.86% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.54% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.61% ( -0)1-4 @ 0.9% ( -0)Other @ 2.71% Total : 27.3% |
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