SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 8 | Glentoran | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | Larne | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 | Linfield | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Larne win with a probability of 48.59%. A win for St Joseph's had a probability of 27.58% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Larne win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.04%) and 2-0 (7.72%). The likeliest St Joseph's win was 1-2 (6.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.12%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Larne | Draw | St Joseph's |
48.59% ( 0.04) | 23.83% ( 0.01) | 27.58% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 57.98% ( -0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.31% ( -0.08) | 43.69% ( 0.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.92% ( -0.08) | 66.08% ( 0.08) |
| Larne Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.89% ( -0.01) | 18.11% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.94% ( -0.02) | 49.06% ( 0.02) |
| St Joseph's Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.8% ( -0.08) | 29.2% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.85% ( -0.1) | 65.15% ( 0.1) |
| Score Analysis |
| Larne | Draw | St Joseph's |
| 2-1 @ 9.5% ( 0) 1-0 @ 9.04% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 7.72% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 5.41% ( -0)3-0 @ 4.4% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 3.33% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 2.31% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.88% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.42% ( -0)Other @ 3.58% Total : 48.59% | 1-1 @ 11.12% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.85% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 5.29% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.37% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.2% Total : 23.82% | 1-2 @ 6.85% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 6.51% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 4.01% ( -0)1-3 @ 2.81% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.4% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.64% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.37% Total : 27.58% |
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